Friday, October 2, 2009

Week 5 picks

Oklahoma - Miami
Oklahoma seemed to suffer a season-ending upset when Sam Bradford went down and so did the hopes of an undefeated season. Miami has gotten all the hype this season, as they arguably had the best first three weeks of college football (2 games), but the key to this match-up is how Oklahoma has quietly crawled back to the top of the rankings and Landry Jones is really coming of age and showing Sooner fans that Oklahoma and the offensive firepower is here to stay. Jacory Harris has looked very composed this season and despite pouring rain, Virginia Tech dominated Miami a week ago. I'm waiting for Murray and Brown to really get going in the Sooner backfield and although Miami has a stingy defense, Ryan Williams did well last week and I expect this to be a breakout week for the backs.
The Pick - Oklahoma

California-USC
This is a very interesting match-up and a very, very important game to the Pac-10 race. Oregon showed a week ago that they plan on being into the race until the end, but Cal has a do or die game this week against Southern Cal. Cal got embarassed last week and I don't expect a repeat this week led by the offense talent of Best and Riley. I'm not sold on the USC team yet. The defense is still young, but they are playing well and the offense hasn't exactly put on a fireworks display yet. Joe McKnight is really developing into a go-to back, but the passing game just isn't what I expected. With such an experienced receiving corps led by Damian Williams, I expected more.
The Pick - Cal

Tennessee - Auburn
Auburn has put on a surprising display of offensive power and versatility so far this season, but Tennessee's defense will be the team's first real test. Can Chris Todd demonstrate his improvement against a real team or will he revert to last year's performances. Tennessee still lacks a quarterback, but Hardesty has been very solid at running back and is currently one of the best in the SEC out of the backfield. Look for a hard fought battle and for Tennessee to squeak out this game defensively in a game fought in the teens.
The Pick - Tennessee

Wisconsin - Minnesota
If you're up to watching a game at 12 noon tomorrow, make sure to watch this game with undefeated Wisconsin and a Minnesota team that features one of the best receivers in the country in Eric Decker. Decker doesn't get nearly enough credit from the media and it is a shame that it is only because he plays for the Golden Gophers. The last time Minnesota got attention nationally offensively was with Maroney and Barber in the backfield, but Decker is THE most consistent receiver in the country and dictates the game even when people know he is the go to guy. Look for Decker to expose Wisconsin and Minnesota to win this game.
The Pick - Minnesota

Georgia - LSU
LSU is the most overrated team in the country and they play a trap game this week against Georgia. Everyone in Baton Rouge wants LSU to be the team that takes down Florida and with that matchup only a week away and Florida fans already talking about it due to their bye week, look for LSU to not fully focus on Georgia and leave Athens with a loss. Georgia probably won't score 40 points but they'll be able to stop an LSU offense that has struggled to develop Charles Scott in the running game.
The Pick - Georgia

The Upset Pick - Michigan State (Michigan)
Michigan State just has not had any luck this season. They're so close to winning, but they always end up on the wrong side. Michigan has seen the otherside of the spectrum and this will be the week, the two feel the other side of the feeling. Michigan State is finally settling into an offense and Michigan has started to garner the attention and are ripe for the upset.

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